NEWS

Will a 3-year hurricane streak be snapped this October?

Here’s a look at the history of October hurricanes.

October is too early for Christmas sales, songs and decorations. And it should be too late in most places for summer weather, summer wear, and summer hurricanes, right?

While the flip flops certainly should be flipped, hurricane season is far from over. Several of the most deadly, destructive hurricanes have struck the United States in October, including Hurricane Michael last year, which has its one-year anniversary on October 10.

“Michael and Sandy are the two poster children of October hurricanes,” said AccuWeather Hurricane Expert Dan Kottlowski.

October has brought an Atlantic U.S.-landfalling hurricane for three straight years (2016-18), which is the longest streak since it occurred for five straight years from 1946-50. Two of the three – Michael (2018) and Matthew (2016) – had their names retired because of the devastation they caused.

Other October hurricanes that saw their names retired include Sandy (2012), Lili (2002), Opal (1995) and Hazel (1954).

October is the third-most common month for Atlantic landfalling hurricanes in the continental U.S. A total of 18 Atlantic basin hurricanes have made landfall on U.S. soil in October since 1950 – behind September (44) and August (27) – according to AccuWeather research based on National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) data, which does not include the 2019 season. The Atlantic Hurricane season lasts from June 1 through November 30, though there have been storms outside of those dates on rare occasions.

So far there have been 12 named storms in the 2019 Atlantic Hurricane season, which is progressing much as AccuWeather forecast back on April 3.

AccuWeather meteorologists called for a total of 12 to 14 named systems for 2019, which includes both tropical storms and hurricanes for the Atlantic basin through the end of the year. Of the 12-14 named systems, AccuWeather predicted five to seven of those storms to become hurricanes and two to four to become major hurricanes.

Of the 12 named storms so far in 2019, five were hurricanes and three were major hurricanes. A hurricane has maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater while a major hurricane, a Category 3 or higher, has maximum sustained winds of 111 mph or higher.

AccuWeather also forecast two to four Atlantic storms to hit the U.S.; there have been three so far. NOAA predicted 10-17 named storms with five to nine hurricanes and two to four major hurricanes for 2019.

“We’re very cognizant of our responsibility and the importance of getting information around hurricanes and all severe storms as precise and as accurate as possible and explaining the impact so that people, companies, emergency management people and the government agencies we serve make the right decision,” said AccuWeather Founder and CEO Dr. Joel N. Myers.

Historically, 13 of the 18 October U.S.-landfalling hurricanes since 1950 hit after October 7.

“Right now, I think there will be at least one to three named storms the rest of this season,” said AccuWeather’s Kottlowski. “I think the season will end up with 14 or 15 named storms. The season is not over yet.”

 

This article was originally published on kvue

Recent news

California bans travel-size plastic shampoo bottles from hotels

In a few years, you'll no longer be able to rely on hotels in California… Read more

Dyson shelves $3b electric vehicle project

UK-based appliance manufacturer Dyson has pulled the brakes on its proposed multibillion dollar electric-vehicle venture.… Read more

5 Tips for an Environmentally-Friendly Halloween

Millions around the world celebrate All Hallows Eve – Halloween – on October 31, in… Read more

Enjoy an eco-friendly autumn

Autumn arrives with cool breezes, awe-inspiring foliage and the hint of holidays on the horizon.… Read more

John Lindsey: Hurricane intensity may increase, frequency may drop

Generally speaking, but not always, the lower the atmospheric pressure within a storm, the stronger… Read more

Hurricane Season Is Not Over Yet: Multiple Areas Are Being Monitored for Tropical Development in the Week Ahead

At a Glance Two areas bear watching for possible tropical development in the Atlantic Basin… Read more

Subtropical storm possible off Northeast later today; National Hurricane Center watching 3 systems

A subtropical storm is possible off the Northeast later today. A special advisory from the… Read more

Next potential Atlantic hurricane to roll off the African coast this weekend

A storm is whirling in the Atlantic that just passed the Southeast offshore. It will take a smack… Read more

The Porsche Taycan Turbo is finally here, and it's an 800-volt electric belter

Porsche promised us a four-door electric supercar by the end of the decade back in… Read more

Hurricane Center monitoring 3 Atlantic systems

Meteorologists are tracking three disturbances Wednesday morning in the Atlantic, one of which retains high… Read more